MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Location: file:///C:/6D7A90D4/Akinsete-abstract.htm Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Content-Type: text/html; charset="us-ascii" Marshall University Math Colloquium

Marshall University Math Colloquiu= m

 

 

Friday, Septembe= r 24

 

3:00 P.M.

 

Smith Hall 509

 

Alfred Akinsete=

Marshall University

 

“The winning probability and ranking models for teams in

 soccer tournaments”

 

 

Abstract: We discuss the statisti= cal analysis of the 1993 – 2003 soccer results from the 20 teams in the FA Premier League (FAPLE). Using the Clarke-Norman (CLAMAN) model, we obtain the home advantage and strength of each team. The work focuses on ranking methodologies and develops new ranking mo= dels for teams in soccer tournaments. We show that the ranking, and the distance between any pair of teams prior to their encounter is equivalent to CLAMAN's = model. The winning probabilities of a team defeating other teams in the league are obtained. These probabilities form a ranking procedure, and provide a source for the performance evaluation of each team in the tournament. The results = show that our ranking models are adequate, evidently from the 2003/2004 end-of-y= ear ladder. The work leads to further investigation of stochastic modeling of soccer data.

 

 

Students! Remember, only the speak= er will understand everything!

 

 

Snacks will be served= .

 

 

Next Colloquium: Octo= ber 8.